Obama gains 1 Pledged Delegate in Ohio!

Jennifer Brunner, the Ohio Secretary of State, has released the official Ohio primary election results.

As svotaw1991 pointed out, there are several important changes from the unoffocial results on election night.

Notably, CLinton's Ohio win shrank (Clinton received 1,259,620, Obama received 1,055,769) for a difference of 203,851.  That's a change of 26,022 toward Obama.  The lead for Clinton is at a final margin of 8.8%, not 10.4%

Initially, this did not appear to change the delegate allocations.  However, IF I understand the rules correctly (and I admit this is a big IF), then the district level calculations should be recalculated excluding the votes of candidates who did not meet the viability threshold.  Edwards did not make viability in any district, so his votes should be subtracted and the percentages recalculated.  If my calculations are correct, Obama gains a pledged delegate in CD1.

Here's how delgates are allocated:

4 delegate districts need to have someone get 62.5% or more of the vote to split 3-1. Otherwise, it is an even split.

5 delegate districts will split 3-2 unless someone gets 70% or more.

6 delegate district to split 3-3 unless someone gets 58.4% or higher. To split 5-1, they would have to get 75% or more.

7 delegate districts will split 5-2 only if someone gets between 64.4% and 78.5% of the vote. If they get 78.65% or higher, it is a 6-1 split.

8 delegate districts get a 5-3 split if a candidate receives 56.25% 68.74%, 62 split will be between 68.75% and 81.24%. The 7-1 split would need 81.25% or more.

9 delegate district breakdown as follows: 5-4 unless someone gets between 61.1% to 72.1%. That would be a 6-3 split. A 7-2 split is between 72.2% and 83.2%. A 8-1 split would require 83.3% or more.

March 4 - Unofficial Results

District 1			4 delegates
Clinton	40,112	37.39%	2
Edwards	826	0.77%	0
Obama	66,342	61.84%	2

District 2			4 delegates
Clinton	59,999	54.90%	2
Edwards	1,730	1.58%	0
Obama	66,342	43.52%	2

District 3			5 delegates
Clinton	56,651	46.54%	2
Edwards	1,548	1.27%	0
Obama	63,517	52.18%	3

District 4			4 delegates
Clinton	51,437	57.94%	2
Edwards	2,306	2.60%	0
Obama	35,031	39.46%	2

District 5			4 delegates
Clinton	58,682	59.00%	2
Edwards	2,284	2.30%	0
Obama	38,501	38.71%	2

District 6			5 delegates
Clinton	98,826	69.96%	4
Edwards	4,769	3.38%	0
Obama	37,661	26.66%	1

District 7			4 delegates
Clinton	65,126	57.54%	2
Edwards	2,065	1.82%	0
Obama	45,995	40.64%	2

District 8			4 delegates
Clinton	53,039	56.35%	2
Edwards	1,667	1.77%	0
Obama	39,423	41.88%	2

District 9			6 delegates
Clinton	73,781	53.94%	3
Edwards	1,785	1.30%	0
Obama	61,224	44.76%	3

District 10			6 delegates
Clinton	84,499	61.48%	4
Edwards	2,208	1.61%	0
Obama	50,736	36.91%	2

District 11			8 delegates
Clinton	47,183	29.95%	2
Edwards	793	0.50%	0
Obama	109,544	69.54%	6

District 12			5 delegates
Clinton	57,508	41.78%	2
Edwards	1,226	0.89%	0
Obama	78,925	57.33%	3

District 13			6 delegates
Clinton	80,408	55.84%	3
Edwards	2,193	1.52%	0
Obama	61,408	42.64%	3

District 14			6 delegates
Clinton	82,097	59.56%	4
Edwards	2,032	1.47%	0
Obama	53,700	38.96%	2

District 15			4 delegates
Clinton	55,070	49.71%	2
Edwards	1,174	1.06%	0
Obama	54,544	49.23%	2

District 16			5 delegates
Clinton	72,340	59.01%	3
Edwards	2,755	2.25%	0
Obama	47,493	38.74%	2

District 17			7 delegates
Clinton	102,654	62.87%	4
Edwards	3,459	2.12%	0
Obama	57,154	35.01%	3

District 18			5 delegates
Clinton	72,950	66.22%	3
Edwards	3,485	3.16%	0
Obama	33,725	30.62%	2

There were several significant changes between the March 4 and May 9 numbers (especially in Congressional District 1).

Edwards did not meet the threshhold in any district, so his numbers are removed and the percentages are recalculated.

Here are the May 9 Official Results (with Edwards removed)

District 1			4 delegates
Clinton	42,266	36.00%	1	-1 Clinton
Obama	75,160	64.00%	3	+1 Obama

District 2			4 delegates	No change
Clinton	62,386	54.91%	2
Obama	51,234	45.09%	2

District 3			5 delegates	No change
Clinton	58,347	46.52%	2
Obama	67,066	53.48%	3

District 4			4 delegates	No change
Clinton	52,709	59.30%	2
Obama	36,183	40.70%	2

District 5			4 delegates	No change
Clinton	60,327	60.21%	2
Obama	39,860	39.79%	2

District 6			5 delegates	No change
Clinton	101,467	71.89%	3
Obama	39,678	28.11%	2

District 7			4 delegates	No change
Clinton	67,679	57.95%	2
Obama	49,116	42.05%	2

District 8			4 delegates	No change
Clinton	54,661	56.86%	2
Obama	41,465	43.14%	2

District 9			6 delegates	No change
Clinton	75,877	54.00%	3
Obama	64,624	46.00%	3

District 10			6 delegates	No change
Clinton	89,312	61.80%	4
Obama	55,211	38.20%	2

District 11			8 delegates	No change
Clinton	50,309	29.36%	2
Obama	121,058	70.64%	6

District 12			5 delegates	No change
Clinton	61,015	41.10%	2
Obama	87,338	58.90%	3

District 13			6 delegates	No change
Clinton	83,358	55.59%	3
Obama	65,590	44.41%	3

District 14			6 delegates	No change
Clinton	85,631	60.14%	4
Obama	56,761	39.86%	2

District 15			4 delegates	No change
Clinton	59,768	49.73%	2
Obama	60,420	50.27%	2

District 16			5 delegates	No change
Clinton	74,641	59.83%	3
Obama	50,031	40.17%	2

District 17			7 delegates	No change
Clinton	104,762	63.61%	4
Obama	59,943	36.39%	3

District 18			5 delegates	No change
Clinton	75,105	68.19%	3
Obama	35,031	31.81%	2

If the numerous mathe-magicians on here could take a look at these numbers and double check my work - that would be great!!!

If I am right, then hopefully someone can get this info to the Obama campaign and the Ohio Democratic Party to make the change official.